Aiqtisad

wazayif jayida khilal al’arbaein sanatan almadiat , qamat alwilayat almutahidat bitasdir 8 malayin wazifat w 50 ‘alf masnae ‘iilaa dual ‘ajnabi. kl ma fi alshahiat ghyr almudaqiqat waghayr almundibit lilayd aleamilat alrakhisat wal’aswaq alrakhisati. hrfyaan alsinaeat bi’akmaliha aikhtafat min baladna. wanatijat ldhlk , faqadat altabiqat alwustaa masdaraan rayiysiaan lildakhal min alwazayif aljayidat waidtarat ‘iilaa qabul alwazayif alwadieat almutawadieat , mimma ‘adaa fi kthyr min al’ahyan ‘iilaa mashakil jidiyat fi daem al’usrat almaliat ‘adat ‘iilaa ainhiar al’usrat wakadhlik fi ziadat malhuzat fi aljarima. hdha ghyr maqbul tmamana , wayajib ealayna badhl kl juhd mmkn li’iieadat alwazayif w / ‘aw ‘iinsha’ wazayif jadidat min khilal alaistifadat min ‘iimkanatina almubtakarat wa’ahdath altaqniat almutahat mithl alruwbutat , aldhika’ alastnaeaa , walhusibat alkimumiat. fi waqt wahid kanat haymanatuna alsinaeiat mawdie hasad alealam bi’asrih. lays baed alan! yumkinuna bialtaakid eaks hdha almasar alkhatir ‘iidha qadamat hukumatina , bialtaeawun mae alqitae alkhasi , almusaeadat alllazimat wakhalaq alzuruf almunasibat libad’ almanatiq alsinaeiat aljadidat walhadithat almukhasasat litatawurat sinaeiat / tiknulujiat muhadadat lilghayat mthl: AI، 5G , alhawsabat alkamumiat , alruwbutat wal’atmatata. nzrana liwujud albaed balfel fi klin min algharb walsawahil alsharqiat balfel , ynbghy ‘an yakun algharb al’awsat mintaqatan mustahdifatan wadihatan liltatwir almutasarie limithl hadhih almasharie ealaa nitaq wasei. hadafay hu jaeal ‘iilinawiun litakun wadi alsylykun fi algharb al’awst. mulahazat ‘akhirat bkhsws alwzayf! min almuakid ‘ana aindimam alsiyn ‘iilaa altijarat alealamiat ‘adaa ‘iilaa ainkhifad fi eadad alwazayif wajawadtiha. mundh eam 2001 , zad tasdir alwazayif fi alwilayat almutahidat bishakl kbir. kan ynbghy ‘an yudrik shakhs ma fi waqt ma ‘ana 1,300 milyun shakhs yadkhulun suq aleamal alealamii satakun lah eawaqib wakhima. laqad kan khtaan khtyrana lilghayat ‘adaa ‘iilaa tafaqum ainkimash wazayifna. eilawat ealaa dhlk , min khilal alsamah lilsiyn bidukhul almarhalat alaiqtisadiat alealamiat , ‘anshana alzuruf almuthaliat wamahidna altariq lisariqat almalakiat alfikriat waistighlal alnizam alealamii ghyr altaerifii min qibal dawlat la tatabie ‘ay qawaeid suluwk maqbulatin.

dun ‘adnaa shakin , ytmu tajanub mawdue diunina alwataniat aldakhmat waghayr alkhadieat lilraqabat min qibal alkthyr , hataa alsiyasiiyn al’akthar khibrat. ‘iinah mawdue mahfuf bialmakhatir lilghayat wayafadilun alqiam birihlat bialqitar ‘iilaa alqamar , wajamie ‘anwae al’amwal alty lays ladayhim. haliaan , ladayna duyun wataniat tablugh ma yaqrub min 23 triliuwn dularin. fi ‘awayil eam 2009 , balagh alraqm 10 , wafi eam 2016 balagh 18 tariliwn. fi ghdwn eshr sanawat faqat , daeifna duyunaan alwataniat bi’akthar min alduef walati tarakamat ladayna kabald khilal 200 eam almady. ‘iina dinana alwataniu yafuq alan nisbat alnnatij almahaliyi al’iijmalii ladayna , wahu alan yablugh 106%. hadha ghyr masbuq tmamana , waqad wasal ‘iilaa ‘abead mazeajatin. ‘ayi shakhs eaqil sayaetarif bi’ana mithl hadhih alzuruf la ymkn ‘an tastamira ‘iilaa al’abad , wa’anahum ln yuealijuu rufaahuna kudulatan muzdahiratin. yjb ‘an nataharak bsret wahasm liwaqf qitar alduyun alharb. ‘aetaqid ‘ana aldarajat al’uwlaa min al’aemal , alty qad la tahzaa bishaebiat , hi alan waqt bad’ niqash eamin hawl hadhih alqadiat walsamah lilkhubara’ almaliayn / alaiqtisadiiyn bialtadakhul litaqdim hulul muhadadat lieilaj alafat alwataniat. bisifati eudw majlis alshuyukh al’amrikii , sa’unadil min ajl almurajaeat alshshamilat lajamie baramij alaistihqaq litahdid jmye aljunat aladhin yushimun ‘akthar fi dinina alsanawi. sa’uqatil min ajl fard watatbiq hulul limane alkabus alaiqtisadii almahtum.

‘iidha astamaea almar’ halyana ‘iilaa ma yaqtarihuh almurashahun lilriyasat ean alhizb aldiymuqratii kasiasat daribiat litahsin alrufahiat alaiqtisadiat libaladina , yumkin lilmar’ ‘an yakun mrtbkana tmamana min hayth hajm khatatihim lihali “kyfyt alsariqat min bul lidafe bytr” hadha hu baldbt ma yafealunah. la yumkin li’ahad ‘an yunkir ‘ana hdha yuathir ealaa altabqat alwustaa ealaa mahmal aljidi , li’ana altabiqat alwustaa yjb ‘an takun almiftah lahalana litahsin alaiqtisadi. shakhsiaan , min alsaeb balnsbt li hataa ‘an ‘ahkam ealaa madaa faealiat alnizam aldaribii alhalii , ‘iidha kanat alsharikat aleimlaqat mithl Amazon qad ‘ablaghat ean rabah rubama maratan wahidatan faqat fi wujudiha. qad ybdw min almuntiqi aiftirad ‘anah ‘iidha qamuu bial’iiblagh ean alkhasayir , falan yadfaeuu ‘aya darayb. laa yanbaghi alsamah bitawsie al’aemal ‘iilaa al’abad , dun dafe ‘aya drayb! ealaa nfs alminwal , yjb ‘an nueid ‘iilaa alwilayat almutahidat jmye daribat dakhal almughtaribin almustahaqat min alsharikat alty tumaras aemalana tijariatan fi alkharij , wdhlk bimanh alsharikat khsmana khasana limarat wahidat. ela alrghm min aljuhud aljadat alty yabdhuluha alruwasa’ dhaww altafkir alaiqtisadii mithl alrayiys alrrahil righan ‘aw alrayiys taramib , yjb faeal shay’ balfel , ‘iidha kanat raghbatina hi alraghbat fi tawsie aiqtisadina lidaman aistimrar alrakha’ fi baladana. yjb ealayna alqada’ ealaa jmye althugharat almawjudat fi alnizam aldaribii walakun qabl kl shay’ , tabsit qanun aldarayib. yujad halyana fi alfatrat 2019-2020 , sbet ‘aqwas min daribat aldakhl alfidiraliat , min ‘adnaa 10% ‘iilaa ‘aelaa 37%. min nahiat ‘ukhraa , yuqtarih aledyd min alttamihin lilriyasat hataa fard darayib tasil ‘iilaa 90 % mimaa yatarakuna ealaa 10 % beyda ean alaiqtisad almariksii aldhy tusaytir ealayh aldawlat alnamat tamama. laqad han alwaqt lilbahth fi jmye ‘anha’ alealam ean bed alhulul albadilat almumkinati. raghbati hi ‘an ‘asaeid fi khalq niqash eamin waladhi , bimusaeadat alkhubara’ , sayuadiy ‘iilaa aitifaq ealaa almasar alsahyh. marat ‘ukhraa ، ‘ana afdil altaqdim albati’ libaramij jadidat bidun mawajaat sidmiat eind aietimad alshakl alnihayiyi bsret kabiratin. eind albahth fi jmye ‘anha’ alealam lilhusul ealaa ‘amthilat min albuldan alnnajihat lilghayat dhat nasib alfard min ‘iijmalii alnnatij almahaliyi walati tueadu aydana al’akthar thra’an , sawf yulahiz almar’ bsret ‘ana balad singhafurat ladayh wahid min ‘aelaa alnnatij almahaliyi al’iijmalii wahu 90,000 dular (60,000 dular lilwilayat almutahada) wafi alwaqt nfsh yatamatae alwaqt biwahid min ‘adnaa mueadalat aldarayib fi alealam mae 17 % lilsharikat w 22 % mueadalat daribat aldakhl alfardiati. waghaniun ean alqawl , ‘anaha kanat aydana fi almartabat al’uwlaa fi darajat aikhtibar PISA lieam 2015. ela alrghm mn ‘ana singhafurat biha 6 malayin nasamat faqat mqabl 330 milyun fi alwilayat almutahidat , la yumkin tajahul hdha almathali. hnak aydana aledyd min alduwal al’ukhraa alty tustakhdam mueadalat daribiatan munkhafidatan bishakl faeeal lisalih aiqtisadatiha. kanat fikrat daribat alsharikat alty balaghat 17 % tatajawal fi eahd ‘iidarat righan lm tawt thimaraha , walakun takhfid aldarayib alty aietamadaha kan fealana lilghayat wahafz alaiqtisad al’amrikii bishakl kabirin. hunak shakl khafiun min aldarayib ghyr almunfasilat hi aydana alqawaeid wallawayih alty yataearad almuatinun walmuasasat biha lilmudayaqat ywmyana litawlid ‘iiradat ‘iidafiat lilhukumat almahaliyat ‘aw alhukumiat ‘aw alfidiralia. yjb ealayna alkifah min ajl ‘iizalat jmye hadhih allawayih eindama yustakhdam aljaladun dhaww altafkir alaishtirakii walraghbat fi al’ajndat jadwal ‘aemalahum min kitab allaeb alkhasi b Alinsky lileuthur ealaa layihat ‘ukhraa bahizat althaman limueaqibatik ealaa kunik mwatnaan teawnyaan. amul ‘an yudaeaf alrayiys taramib khilal fatrat wilayatuh alththaniat juhuduh li’iizalat kl hadhih allawayih. yjb ‘an yazala miftah kl al’iislahat aldaribiat fi al’ufuq mae hadafina alnihayiyi , wahu aistieadat watawsie altabqat alwustaa almutaqalisat min ‘amrika. tharwat kulu ‘umat tuqas daymana binisbat ealiat min altabqat alwustaa. fi alkhamsiniat walsitiniat tamataeuna binumuin sihiin min altabqat alwustaa , wayajib ‘an nastaeidah alan ‘iidha ‘aradna ‘an nazadhar kudulatan ‘ukhraa. thqyqana lihadhih alghayat , yanbaghi daymana fard ‘ayi takhfid fi darayib alsharikat ealaa ziadat altawzif , walays ghyr dhalik. khulasat alqawl hi ‘anah ‘iidha kunna narghab fi tawsie aiqtisadina , yjb ealayna ‘an nanzur bijid fi khafd mueadalat aldarayib badalaan min ziadatiha dun nihayat fi al’ufq.

Albaramij alaijtimaeia

lieuqud eadidat , eamal shaeb alwilayat almutahidat , wamin ajl alealam bi’asrih , bijidin min ajl tabaniy baramij aijtimaeiat yastafid minha jmyeana alyawma. kadulatan , alwilayat almutahidat al’amrikiat , qddmt ‘amthilatan liledyd min al’ashkhas alakharin litatabieaha , walakay nakun munsafin , taealimuna min alakhirin aydana. ldhlk taqae ealaa eatiqina maswuwliat badhl kl juhd maequl lilhifaz ealaa hadhih almaeayir alaijtimaeiat aleali. lilhifaz ealaa shabakat al’aman alaijtimaeii alkhasat bina , yjb ‘an nakun harisin lilghayat ealaa edm al’iifrat fi al’iinfaq lileaysh kharij nitaq qudratina almahdudati. baed kula shay’ , kama yaqul almathal alshaebiu , “almal la yanmu ealaa al’ashjar”. halyana , nahn ealaa matn qitar harib yatasarae biwatirat sarieat eindama yataealaq al’amr bialeaysh kharij nitaq ‘iimkaniatina. nahn nudif ‘iilaa aldiyn alwatanii aldhy la yumkin waqfah linaeish alyawm ealaa hisab ‘ajyalina almuqbilati. yjb ‘an nabdhul qusaraa jahidana lieaks aitijah hdha alaitijah alkhatir min khilal ‘iislah wa’iieadat fahs aledyd min albaramij lilqada’ ealaa al’iinfaq almuhdar , walaizdiwajiat , wahyanana tabdhir ‘aw hataa alaihtial almbashr. ‘aetaqid ‘anah min al’iijramii tqrybana ‘an yatima tarak kibar alsini w / ‘aw qudamaa almuharibin fi ‘iihmal wadun daem aijtimaeiin kafin. yjb ‘an nakun mutayaqizin waistibaqiayn liltahaquq min salamatahum qabl ‘an tasil ‘iilaa mustawayat fadihatin. wabialmithl , yjb daem ‘ajyalina alshshabat alty tadkhul suq aleml. ealayna ‘an nadman ‘an tatamakan aleayilat alshshabat min tasis ‘asratha dun qalaq bishan eawaqib aleamalati. ldhlk , yjb ealayna ‘an namnah wanadmin lahum ‘iijazat ‘umumatan lifatrat mumtadat min alzaman , kama hu alhal fi aledyd min buldan alealam , mae sadarat ‘uwrubaa. ealaa nfs alminwal dhatih , yjb ealaa kl sahib eamal ladayh 25 mwzfana ‘aw ‘akthar ‘an yufir mayzat taghtiat tamin sahiin kafiat. yjb ‘an yakun wajibna alrasmia hu himayat hdha waljayl alqadim min alquaa aleamilat bi’ayi thaman , bghd alnazar ean ‘ayi aiftatan sayid bialaishtirakiat , ‘aw ‘ay “eqidat” ‘ukhraa. qabl alqiam bi’ayi muhawalat li’iinqadh aljamie , hataa ‘uwlayik aldhyn lam yafealuu dhalik. baed ‘an tukhtiana ealaa ‘ardina , yjb ‘an yazala ailtizamina al’akhlaqiu biwade mizalat lilhimayat lidaemihim khilal ‘akthar allahazat althaminat fi hayatihim wafi hayatihim aleayiliat. lm yastaghriq al’amr wqtana twylaan linudrik ‘ana barnamaj ‘uwbama kayr almashhud lah jdana walmabniu ealaa al’afkar alaishtirakiat ‘athbat ‘anah musaydatan lilfuqara’ wal’asghar snaan aldhyn yatimu mueaqabatuhum alan ‘iidha lm yandamuu ‘iilaa alkhutat , ‘aw aiktashafuu lahqana (fy altanfidh min alkht) ‘ana altaamin alhukumia al’iilzamia mukalaf lilghay. wajaduu alan ‘anahum la yastatieun tahmil alkhutat bsbb alkhusumat alealiat alfalakiat alty tatajawaz edt marrat 10000 dular fi alsn. faqat tudhkar ‘an hadhih aishtirakiat khalisat fi aleamal fi marhalat altanfidh alnihayiyat , walati badat jamilatan wajadhabat fi albdayat. yjb fahs ‘ayi barnamaj aijtimaeiin jadid ytmu taqdimuh bieinayat fayiqat , wayajib ‘an nanzur ‘iilaa almuasasat alkhasat lilta’akud min altakalif almurtabitat bihadhih albaramiji. hadha hu tahdiyna aljadid walhaqiqi , wajibna al’akhlaqia waltizamuna tujah ‘ajyalina alqadimat ‘iidha ‘aradna alhifaz ealaa mustawayat maeishat jayidat alyawm wghdana lajamie muatinina.

ela alrghm min jamieat alnukhbat ladayna , bishakl eamin , tazhar ‘anzimatuna altaelimiat aledyd min ‘aerad alqusur alhaykalii eind mqarnt darajat alaikhtibar / al’iinjaz ladayna mae aledyd min dual alealam. yuzhr aikhtibar PISA lieam 2015 (branamaj taqyim altullab alduwliiyn) mtwst ​​drujat alriyadiat waleulum walqura’at fi alwilayat almutahidat fi almartabat 31 , walsiyn fi almartabat aleashira. al’ahamu min dhlk , ‘ana natayij alriyadiat faqat , tadae alwilayat almutahidat fi almartabat 39 walsiyn fi almartabat alssadisa. natayij alaikhtibar lieam 2108 eind ‘iisdariha satakun ealaa al’arjah mutashabihatan ‘iilaa hadin ma ‘iin lm takun ‘aswa. hal hdha haqanaan yujib ealaa alsuwal alwadih – limadha tusaytir alsiyn alyawm ealaa almunafasat alsinaeiat alealamia? ‘iidha lm naqum bitahsin ‘anzimatina altaelimiat , fa’anaan ‘akhshaa fi alwaqt almunasib ‘an nafqid almayazat altanafusiat alty tamataena biha min qabl. ‘iin nizamana altaelimia fi halat yurthaa laha wayajib ‘iislahuh watahsinah lilmunafasat bishakl ‘akthar faealiat lys faqat ealaa almustawaa almahaliyi walakun bishakl ‘asasiin mae baqiat alealam. ‘iina alsiyasat alwahmiat almutamathilat fi “edam tarak ‘aya shakhs” walati tabdu jamilatan jdana waeidatan jdana , qad ‘adat ‘iilaa tanfidhiha fi halat kan aljamie fiha mutakhalifin. yjb ‘an nasmah liltaelim alkhasi ‘an yazadhar litasrie aleamaliat. waniem , yjb ‘an nakhluq byyat munasabatan lilqilat almukhtarat aladhin yazharun mylana fkryana ghyr eadiin liatima taelimuhum dakhil majmueatihim alkhasat fi zakhmihim alkhasi , wa’illa fa’iinana nahdir ‘iimkanatihim wamawahibahum alhayilata. aydana , yjb ‘an nashadid ealaa almanahij alhandasiat maratan ‘ukhraa (qbl ‘an nasil ‘iilaa almiriykh hadhih almr) , nzrana li’ana aledyd min ‘ashab aleamal la yumkinuhum alyawm aleuthur ealaa muazafin faniayn muhilin lileamal fi altaqniat almutaqadimat aljadidat. likay nakun sadiqin , laysat kl alwazayif tatatalab shahadat jamieiatan ‘aw jamieiatan , ldhlk , yjb ‘an nuasie nizam altadrib fi almadaris almihniat ladayna mae baramij altadrib almahnii limudat sanat w / ‘aw sanatayn li’akthar alharf shaebiatan lilsamah lishababina bialailtihaq alsarie suq aleamal.

‘iidha aistamaet ‘iilaa nabadat wasayil al’iielam alyawm , fastatealim ‘ana hadaratana mahkum ealayha bialainqirad khilal eshr sanawat ‘aw hataa fi waqt ‘aqrab. limadha , bsbb alrajul wulidat ainbieathat CO2 ghyr almustadamat , walati yazeumun ‘anaha fi almustawayat alfalakiat mimaa yuadiy ‘iilaa alaihtibas alhararii walmawt la mafarin minh likawkb al’arda. hal aizeajat khubara’ almunakh w / ‘aw almuthirun lilainzieaj hdha liltahaquq khilal aldawra lilhayat ealaa kawkabina , dhahab munakh al’ard min khilal aledyd min dawrat alaihtirar waltabrid , wakharaha alaihtirar hadath fi alqarnayn alkhamis eashar walththamin eshr waltabrid fi alqarnayn alssabie eshr walttasie eashr. la yumkin li’ahad altaen fi hqyqt ‘anah khilal hadhih alfatarat alzamaniat lm tahadath jmye alainbieathat bsbb nashat alrajul walakun bsbb zawahir tabieiat ‘ukhraa kharjt ean saytarat alrajul tmamana. bbsatt , fa’iina munakh ‘ardina yamuru eabr hadhih aldawrat wahadhih almarat la takhtalif. ealaa aleumum , hdhaan la yaeni ‘anana yjb ‘alla nahud min ainbieathat thani ‘uksid alkarbun , walakun yjb ‘an nakun hadharayn lilghayat wahadhrin eind muealajat almushkilat li’anah la tujad rasasatan sihriatan. fi almaqam al’awal wataht ‘ayi zarf min alzuruf laa yanbaghi lana tahdid ‘aswaq aleamal ladayna lihali mashakil alealam bi’asrih. eilawat ealaa dhlk , daeunaan nakun waqieiiyn wanulqiun nazratan ealaa almudhanibayn alhaqiqiayn , ealaa sabil almithal alsiyn tanbaeith snwyaan ma yaqrub min 10000 tunun min thani ‘uksid alkarbun fi hyn tanbaeith alwilayat almutahidat nsf dhalik. wadaeuna nakun sarihayn , lays ladaa alsiyn raghbatan fi kabh wazayifihim fi sinaeatihim almulawathati. fi alwaqie , eindama natakhalas min alwazayif alhassasat lilbiyat , tataharak alsiyn bsret lisad alfajwat wakhalaq wazayif jadidat fi sinaeatiha almulawithat lilhawa’. nem , sawf yuaqieun bsret ealaa kli aitifaqiat dualiat tadeu ‘iilaa takhfid mustawayat alainbieathati. hadhih hi alsiyn min ‘ajalik – tubashir alealam bishay’ wahid watafeal shyyana mkhtlfana tmamana. lays faqat ‘ana alsiyn ladayha tajahul tamun lidawabit talawuth alhawa’ walakun khilal al’arbaein (40) eamana almadiat , tamakanuu aydana min talwith ‘anzimat al’anhar alkhasat bihim. kan bi’iimkan Moa Tse Tung fi sanawat shibabih alsabbahat baman fi nahr alyanghtsy fi dhalik alwaqt , lkn yujriw almar’ ealaa takrar nfs al’iinjaz alyawm , li’ana nahr alyanghtsa ‘asbah nizam sarf sahiin hrfyana. hdha ma qil li min qibal aledyd min alqirwiiyn almahaliyiyn khilal rihlati ‘iilaa alsiyn qabl bde sanawatin. yjb ealaa jmye eulama’ albiyat dhwyi alnawaya alhasanat ‘iilqa’ nazrat fahisat ealaa almulawithin fi alealam lilaietiraf bima hu wadih , walwilayat almutahidat , wa’uwrubba algharbiat hum qadat albiyat fi alealam , hal hum waeun lilghayat wahasasun fima yataealaq bidawabit albiyat mae eadad la yahsaa min alqawanin fi alkutub limueaqabat almlwthin. ‘ajidu ‘anah min alsakhf ‘anana nusarie ‘iilaa ‘iighlaq manajim alfahm ladayna watirak eshrat alalaf min alnnas dun ‘ayi karamat li’akhlaqiat eamalahum laedat jyl. ‘ay takhfidat muqararat fi alwazayif taht ‘ayi zarf min alzuruf yjb daymana ‘an yatima tanfidhaha ealaa madar fatrat tawilat min alzaman dun al’iikhlal bimaeishat aleummal aleamilin , kama hu mutbiq halyana fi ‘almania. altariqat alty yjb ‘an natabieuha – awlaan , li’iinsha’ wazifat jadidat , ‘aw ‘iijad badil lilwazifat qabl ‘an taqdi ealaa wazifat. lankun sadiqin jdana , ‘iidha kan eulama’ albiyat muhtamiyn hqana bialmas’ala min biiyatina , awlaan waqabl kuli shay’ , ynbghy ‘an yadeuu alealam fi ‘iikhtar liltakhalus min aleubawat alblastikiat walzajajat waghiruha min eanasir almurafiq alblastikiat almuntijat bikamiyat kabirat awlaan li’iinqadh alkawkab , li’anah lays faqat al’anhar , walakun aydana muhitatuna tazhar bala’ albilastik altalawuth aldhy yuadiy ‘iilaa tadmir alhayat albahriati. ‘anqadh alkawkab nem , lkn awlaan , ‘unqadh alwilayat almutahidatu. de alakharin yaqumun bi’ada’ wajibatihim alkhasata! muhimatana mahdudatan wala yumkinuna ‘iinqadh alealam bi’asrih.

Alsiyasat alkharijia

alyawm , qadiat alhijrat hi almawdue al’akthar ‘iitharatan liljadal walmuthirat liljadal fi alwilayat almutahadati. fi alwaqie , kan aljadal mstmrana mundh eam 1924 , eindama tama aietimad qawanin alhijrat al’uwlaa min qibal alhukumat al’amrikiati. alyawm , ‘asbah hdha alnizam qdymana waghayr munasib tmamana litahadiyat alhijrat alhadithat. min ajl hali hadhih almushkilat bifaeealiat , awlaan waqabl kula shay’ , nahn fi hajat masat lilghayat , lys faqat limujrid taediliha , walakun li’iislah nizam alhijrat balkaml aldhy madaa ealayh 100 eam waladhi natabieuh alyawma. kamabda ‘iirshadiin eamin lisiasat alhijrat , yjb ‘an natafiq ealaa ‘anah yanbaghi ealayhim aleamal bialtansiq mae aiqtisadina wamin ‘ajluh. ‘iinaha muhimat hasasat wasaebat lilghayat , hayth ‘ana alealam bi’asrih fi alwaqt alhalii yueani min aidtirabat harakat alhijrat hayth yujad ‘akthar min 250 milyun shakhs hawl alealam fi tariqihim li’iijad manzil jadidin. ‘iina alruwyat almuthaliat alty yanbaghi lana ‘an nasduraha ‘aw al’afdal minha , hi ‘iinqadh alealam bi’asrih min al’akhtar alwashikat alqayimat , bbsatt , ‘iinaha ghyr waqiei. la ymknna ‘iinqadh alealam bi’asrih , lkn yjb ealayna , bitariqat khadieat lilraqabat , ‘an natabanaa siasatina almutaealiqat bialhijrat likhidmat masalihana wa’ahdafina alwataniat. ‘iidha ‘aradtu ‘an ‘aqtarih altaghyir al’awal aldhy yjb ‘an natbanah , fahu altakhalus min barnamaj “t’ashirat alyansyb” alwahmiat aldhy yadeu ‘iilaa kabws altahaquq min alhijrat wayaqud bishakl khatir maeayir altaahil ldayna. yjb tasmim siasat alhijrat aljadidat bieinayat fayiqat lilsamah bialqubul alqanunii walraqabat lilmuhajirin aljudud. yjb ‘an tasmah qawanin alhijrat aljadidat hrfyana limarakiz khadamat altawzif almadaarat lilmuhajirin aljudud dakhil alduwal almusharikati. yjb fahs almuhajirin almutaqadimin bieinayat fayiqat litalbiat maeayirina almuhadadat msbqana. yjbu aistikhdam alhudud faqat lilsaytarat ealaa alhijrat alqanuniati. eindama ytm tanfidhaha bishakl sahih , waeindama nastakhdim ‘ahdath altaqniat lilsaytarat ealaa hududina , fa’iina “aljadar almadi” sayusbih ghayr dhi silat fi hadha altamariyun. raghm ‘anana yjb ‘an natafiq jmyeana ealaa ‘anana yjb ‘an nusaytir ealaa hissina min alhijrat wfqana liaihtiajatina alaiqtisadiat. wa’aetaqid aydana ‘an hadafana yjb ‘an yakun awlaan waqabl kula shay’ alaietiraf bihaqiqat ‘ana albuldan almujawirat lana , almaksik wakanadaan , yjb ‘an taeamul bitariqat tafdiliat ealaa ‘asas mabda mwnrw aldhy aistamara qurabat qarnayn min alzamman – “amarika lil’amrikiiyn”. la ynbghy ‘an yakun li’ahad alhaqi fi almutalabat bi’an nutabiq siasat ealamiatan ealaa alealam bi’asrih eindama yakun jiranuna hum al’awal fi alsaf. wayanbaghy ‘aydaan aietimad almueamalat altafdiliat lilbuldan almujawirat lana lisiasatina alaiqtisadiat. linakun wadihin bishan qadiat wahidat , ‘iidha tabaniyna mueamalat wudiyatan lidawlina aljanubiat ealaa madar al’arbaein eamana almadiat bdlaan min alaietimad balkaml ealaa bitaqat alsiyn , falan nahtaj ealaa al’arjah ‘iilaa khawd hurub altaerifat waltahdidat alaiqtisadiat waleaskariat alty wajah min alsiyn alyawma. walhaqiqat hi ‘anah qabl ‘an natamakan min aistieab mawjat ‘iidafiat min alhijrat , yjb ealayna tahyiat alzuruf alaiqtisadiat limithl hadhih alnatayjti. ldhlk , fa’iin ‘awal ma natamatae bih fi al’aemal altijariat hu tahyiat alzuruf alaiqtisadiat almunasibat min khilal ‘iieadat almasanie alty tama tasdiruha ‘iilaa alsiyn waghiruha min almasanie walbaligh eadadiha 50000 masnae. ‘iidha faealna dhlk , fasawf nakun fi tariqina ‘iilaa tawfir sakan ‘afdal limuatinina walilmuhajirin aljudd. hal sayakun bimaqdur aiqtisadina aistieab malayin almuhajirin al’iidafia? hsnaan , alhaqayiq hi ‘an ‘ahdath al’iihsayiyat tuzhr ‘ana alwilayat almutahidat biha ma yaqrub min 14% min almuhajirin , wakanada 22% , wa’usturalia 28%. dun ‘adnaa shakin , ‘iidha aistaweabat alduwal al’ukhraa almutaqadimat alkalimat nsbana ‘aelaa min almuhajirin , fymkn lilwilayat almutahidat ‘an tafeal alshay’ nafsuh. al’ahama min dhlk , daeunaan naemal awlaan bijidin mae alrayiys turamib likhalq zuruf wafirs aiqtisadiat ‘afdal lilwilayat almutahidat fi alsanawat almuqbila. yumkin ‘iinjazh! daeuna najeal dhlk yurdina jmyeana!

khilal tarikh albashariat , yumkin lilmar’ ‘an yulahiz zuhur alduwal alqawiat bishakl ‘asasiin bsbb quatuha aleaskariat walaiqtisadiat , alty daminat baqa’aha lisanawat eadidati. bitariqat mushabihat tmamana , ‘asbahat alwilayat almutahidat , khasatan mundh nihayat alharb alealamiat alththaniat , alllaeib almuhaymin ealaa alssahat alealamiat. lidaem masalihana , ‘anshana shabakatan wasieatan min alqawaeid aleaskariat fi jmye ‘anha’ alealam. halyana , bial’iidafat ‘iilaa 1100000 jundiin fi alwilayat almutahidat almutajawirat , naqum binashr ‘akthar min 165000 jundiin fi ‘akthar min 150 dawlatan hawl alealam lihimayat masalihana alwataniat. kama yuadih tarikh alealam , la yumkin lihadhih alhalat ‘an tastamira ‘iilaa al’abad dun tadyiq mawarid albilad , al’amr aldhy yuadiy fi kthyr min alhalat ‘iilaa ainhiar wade sultat albld. la takhtalif alwilayat almutahidat , whalyana yuathir wujudana aleaskaria fi jmye ‘anha’ alealam ealaa muaridina almatahati. walsuwal hu: kam min alwaqt ymknna ‘an nakun alshurtiu alealamia wama hu althaman aldhy nahn ealaa aistiedad lidafeih mqabl hdha alwade almumiz. ‘ashal tariqat litakhfif aldaght ealaa mawaridina , hi taqlil aljaysh taht alqiadati. mimma la shaka fih , yumkinuna mutabaeat hdha al’iijra’ bsbb hqyqt ‘ana jayshanaan hu al’akthar ttwraan tknwlwjyaan watalama najahna fi taslih kl jundiin mqatil. ymknna ‘an nafeal ‘akthar bkthyr mae quat ‘asghr. walikun fi alnihayat , ybdw ‘anah yjb ealayna aydana taghyir aistiratijiatina lihali alnizaeat walqada’ ealaa altahdidat alhaliat waljadidati. mithal klasiki hu tatwir ‘iistratijiat easkariat jadidat liriadat al’aemal min A2 / AD (mnae alwusul ‘iilaa almanatiq / rafad almintaqat) hayth takhluq alaibtikarat altiknulujiat hlwlana munkhafidat altakalifat li’iishrak khusumina. ‘aydaan , yanbaghi aistighlal tuknulujiaa alttayirat bidun tayar ‘iilaa ‘aqsaa hadi mumkini. bada alrayiys ‘uwbama biastikhdam alttayirat bidun tayar bifaeealiat kabirat lilqada’ ealaa tahdid alqaeidat , dun aistikhdam quwwatina albariati. mithl hadhih alhulul alfaeealat ymkn ‘an tusaeiduna bikuli takid ealaa alhifaz ealaa makanatina alealamiat. yjb ealayna aydana ‘an nadfae ‘iilaa hudud qudratina alaistikhbaratiat walmuraqabat qabl ‘iirsal junud jadad ‘iilaa ‘amakin baeidat. akhyrana , yumkin tahqiq masalihana wa’ahdafina fi alkharij lys faqat min khilal ‘iibqa’ junudina fi arad ‘ajnabiat , walakun min khilal “qhar” albuldan dhat alaihtimam aqtsadyana , wamin khilal taqdim taeawun lahum fi majmueat mutanawieat min albaramij ghyr aleaskariat walhulul aldiblumasiat alhadiat. ‘aetaqid ‘an hadhih hi al’iistratijiat al’akthar faeiliat qabl ‘an nuhawil “alghazw walqasmata”.

eindama kan mustaqbal aistiqlalina ealaa almihaki fi eam 1776 , tabanaa ‘ajdaduna ‘iielan alaistiqlali. alyawm , ‘aetaqid ‘anana najid ‘anfusaina fi wade mashabih ‘iilaa hadin ma hayth tataearad qawtuna alealamiat watafawuquna alaiqtisadiu lidughut min janib laeibin muhayaminin akharin ealaa alssahat alealamiat. min ajl alhifaz ealaa mkant ‘aezam quat fi alealam , walati tamtaeat biha alwilayat almutahidat tawal mezm alqarn aleishrin , min almuhima bila shaka ‘an nuhafiz ealaa mkant ‘aezam quat aiqtisadiat fi alealam. rubama , ldhlk , han alwaqt alyawm liaietimad ‘iielan aistiqlal jadid – al’iielan alwatanii lilaistiqlal almali. ‘iina algharad min daewat mithl hdha altawdih alwatanii hu daman ‘an yanzur baqiat alealam ‘iilaa alwilayat almutahidat kinamudhij lys faqat lilhukm almadanii walakun aydana lilqiadat alaiqtisadiat. ela alrghm mn ‘anah qad takun hnak aledyd min al’afkar fima yataealaq bhdha alhadaf , ‘iilaa ‘an kabah aldiyn alwatania yjb ‘an yakun ‘awlawiatuna alwataniat al’uwalaa. ‘iin tamin markaz muhaymin lilduwlar al’amrikii , waladhi la yazal yatamatae bih fi altijarat alealamiat , hu ‘amr ‘asasiun limustaqbalina waistiqlalina almali. wanamal ‘alaa natamakan min tashih ‘akhta’ madina alhadith wawade masarina ealaa masar jadid linazl minarat alhukm alrashid fi alealam. ‘iidha nafadhana bijid wabisabr ‘iieadat siaghat al’ajnidat al’amrikiat , fasankun baed dhlk mutajawizin almarhalat alhaliat min daewat alrayiys turamib alwadihat alyawm ‘iilaa “jeal ‘amrika eazimat maratan ‘ukhraa” , wasawf nstayqiz bialtaakid fi alshaeb al’amrikii alfakhr walruwh l “ajaeal ‘amrika fkhwraan maratan ‘ukhraa”